Sport Picks
Navalcarnero vs Ciudad de Lorqu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda Division B - Group 2 2008/2009 
AI Match Summary
Ciudad de Lorqu in this Segunda Division B - Group 2 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad de Lorqu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navalcarnero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ciudad de Lorqu lately — more wins on the board than Navalcarnero.
- Navalcarnero are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad de Lorqu Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Navalcarnero | Ciudad de Lorqu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Navalcarnero vs Ciudad de Lorqu
1:2
Sep 28, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ciudad de Lorqu vs Navalcarnero
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Navalcarnero 85 / 100
Ciudad de Lorqu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Navalcarnero Ciudad de Lorqu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ciudad de Lorqu has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Navalcarnero's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Navalcarnero has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Navalcarnero VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Navalcarnero
(Home) 04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1 Real Avila
03 May
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 CF Fuenlabrada
19 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 0 Conquense
Page 1 of 3
Ciudad de Lorqu
(Away) 09 May
Ciudad de Lorqu
0 : 2 Lucena
02 May
Ecija
1 : 3 Ciudad de Lorqu
25 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
2 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
18 Apr
Sevilla B
3 : 1 Ciudad de Lorqu
14 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
4 : 2 CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ecija
1 : 3 Ciudad de Lorqu
18 Apr
Sevilla B
3 : 1 Ciudad de Lorqu
11 Apr
Jaen
3 : 0 Ciudad de Lorqu
28 Mar
Moratalla
2 : 0 Ciudad de Lorqu
14 Mar
Roquetas
2 : 0 Ciudad de Lorqu
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cartagena SAD | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 60:28 | 73 |
| 2 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 58:34 | 69 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 38 | 16 | 18 | 4 | 61:34 | 66 |
| 4 | Leganes | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 66 |
| 5 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 41:32 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 60:45 | 63 |
| 7 | AD Merida | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 50:34 | 62 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Lorqu | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 39:27 | 62 |
| 9 | Sangonera | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 46:37 | 56 |
| 10 | Aguilas (inactive) | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 43:44 | 55 |
| 11 | Vecindario | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 36:39 | 52 |
| 12 | Univ. Las Palmas | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 32:45 | 48 |
| 13 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 43:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Lanzarote | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 40:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Fuerteventura | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 45:66 | 39 |
| 16 | Las Palmas B | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 17 | Navalcarnero | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 37:55 | 37 |
| 18 | Pajara Playas | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:55 | 35 |
| 19 | Alfaro | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 31:55 | 32 |
| 20 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 33:60 | 26 |
Relegation - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Play Out)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Winners Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Losers Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Losers Play Offs)
Promotion - Segunda Division B - Group 1 2008/2009 (Losers Play Offs)
