Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026

Navalcarnero

2 - 3

Rayo Majadahonda

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Villar J.

36'

Calcada G.

49'

Faure I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rayo Majadahonda in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Majadahonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Navalcarnero

33%

Draws

40%

Rayo Majadahonda

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rayo Majadahonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Rayo Majadahonda lately — more wins on the board than Navalcarnero.
Rayo Majadahonda are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 15%

Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Navalcarnero	Rayo Majadahonda
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	18
Draws	9	9
Losses	12	3
Goals Scored	0.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Navalcarnero vs Rayo Majadahonda

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

2:3

Nov 29, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Rayo Majadahonda vs Navalcarnero

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Feb 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Rayo Majadahonda vs Navalcarnero

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Sep 22, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Navalcarnero vs Rayo Majadahonda

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Feb 7, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Rayo Majadahonda vs Navalcarnero

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navalcarnero Compare

Top Goalscorer Villar J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dias J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Faure I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Calcada G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navalcarnero 27 / 100

Rayo Majadahonda 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Navalcarnero Rayo Majadahonda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navalcarnero found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Navalcarnero went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rayo Majadahonda conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Navalcarnero VS Rayo Majadahonda

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Majadahonda	34	20	10	4	52:23	70
2	San Sebastian Reyes	34	21	7	6	51:27	70
3	Conquense	34	16	12	6	42:30	60
4	Getafe B	34	16	9	9	55:35	57
5	CD Coria	34	16	9	9	50:38	57
6	RSD Alcala	34	14	9	11	42:39	51
7	Tenerife B	34	15	5	14	57:53	50
8	Orihuela	34	12	10	12	45:43	46
9	CF Intercity	34	11	10	13	42:45	43
10	Navalcarnero	34	11	10	13	40:42	43
11	Las Palmas B	34	11	9	14	42:45	42
12	Ilicitano	34	10	11	13	51:56	41
13	Real Madrid C	34	11	7	16	42:45	40
14	Quintanar del Rey	34	11	6	17	36:43	39
15	CF Fuenlabrada	34	9	10	15	35:44	37
16	Colonia Moscardo	34	9	7	18	37:57	34
17	Socuellamos	34	7	10	17	34:55	31
18	Rayo Vallecano B	34	9	3	22	30:63	30