Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2

CD Mosconia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Navarro play CD Mosconia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Navarro averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. CD Mosconia averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Navarro won 1, CD Mosconia won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Navarro and 1.13 for CD Mosconia. This points to a CD Mosconia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Navarro

32%

Draws

41%

CD Mosconia

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Navarro picked up more points recently compared to CD Mosconia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Navarro Clean Sheet 21%

CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Navarro	CD Mosconia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	13
Draws	11	6
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.2	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.6	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Navarro vs CD Mosconia

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

CD Mosconia vs Navarro

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

Navarro vs CD Mosconia

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

CD Mosconia vs Navarro

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2

CD Mosconia vs Navarro

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navarro Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ofon F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

CD Mosconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagir I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navarro 29 / 100

CD Mosconia 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Navarro CD Mosconia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Mosconia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Navarro attacking → ← attacking CD Mosconia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navarro scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

CD Mosconia let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Navarro went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Mosconia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 45

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Llanera	34	29	4	1	71:18	91
2	Covadonga	34	25	5	4	88:24	80
3	Gijon B	34	19	10	5	79:29	67
4	Caudal Deportivo	34	20	6	8	59:39	66
5	CD Mosconia	34	16	7	11	46:29	55
6	EI San Martin	34	14	9	11	36:36	51
7	L Entregu CF	34	13	10	11	41:42	49
8	Union Club Ceares	34	12	9	13	39:40	45
9	Praviano	34	11	9	14	36:42	42
10	Club Siero	34	11	8	15	39:49	41
11	CD Colunga	34	10	9	15	38:59	39
12	Llanes	34	8	13	13	44:51	37
13	Aviles Stadium	34	6	15	13	21:40	33
14	Gijon Industrial	34	7	11	16	36:57	32
15	Lenense	34	7	11	16	36:58	32
16	Navarro	34	6	13	15	38:53	31
17	Tuilla	34	7	6	21	31:60	27
18	Real Titanico	34	3	9	22	22:74	18