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Navbahor Namangan vs Mashal Muborak

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Navbahor Namangan play Mashal Muborak in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Navbahor Namangan averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Mashal Muborak averaged 0.52 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Navbahor Namangan won 3, Mashal Muborak won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Navbahor Namangan and 0.56 for Mashal Muborak. This points to a Navbahor Namangan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Navbahor Namangan
27%
Draws
21%
Mashal Muborak
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Navbahor Namangan picked up more points recently compared to Mashal Muborak.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 30%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan Mashal Muborak
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.86 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Mashal Muborak
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Navbahor Namangan
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Mashal Muborak
6:0
Oct 23, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Navbahor Namangan
0:0
Jun 20, 2021 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Mashal Muborak
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kholmatov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usmonov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mashal Muborak Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovski V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 53 / 100
Mashal Muborak 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan Mashal Muborak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Navbahor Namangan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Navbahor Namangan attacking → ← attacking Mashal Muborak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navbahor Namangan scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Mashal Muborak let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Navbahor Namangan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mashal Muborak lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 18
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210