Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navbahor Namangan vs Sogdiana

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Markaziy Stadium, Namangan
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Jaloliddinov J.
46'
Sub
Jaloliddinov J. In: Kakhramonov J.
Out: Jaloliddinov J.
46'
Sub
Boljevic A. In: Mulic F.
Out: Boljevic A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Navbahor Namangan and Sogdiana finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Navbahor Namangan
22%
Draws
18%
Sogdiana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Navbahor Namangan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sogdiana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Navbahor Namangan a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 16%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navbahor Namangan Sogdiana
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Sogdiana
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Sogdiana vs Navbahor Namangan
4:0
Aug 6, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Sogdiana
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Navbahor Namangan
2:3
Sep 26, 2024 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Sogdiana
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamatkazin I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sogdiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Doriev L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navbahor Namangan 57 / 100
Sogdiana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navbahor Namangan Sogdiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogdiana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Navbahor Namangan scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Navbahor Namangan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Navbahor Namangan VS Sogdiana
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Navbahor Namangan

(Home)
28 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 1
Navbahor Namangan
23 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Qizilqum
17 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
2 : 3
OKMK
04 May
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0
Navbahor Namangan
29 Apr
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6

Sogdiana

(Away)
27 Jul
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 1
Sogdiana
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5
Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
02 May
Buxoro
2 : 1
Sogdiana
28 Apr
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona14112133:635
2Pakhtakor15104126:1434
3Buxoro1582519:1626
4OKMK1474323:1825
5Navbahor Namangan1464418:1322
6Lok. Tashkent1564522:2122
7Andijan1563622:1621
8Nasaf Qarshi1456317:1321
9Din. Samarkand1462624:2520
10Bunyodkor1461714:1619
11Xorazm Urganch1444611:1716
12Termez Surkhon1443714:2215
13Qizilqum1442810:1914
14Sogdiana1433823:3312
15Kokand 19121425713:2311
16Mashal Muborak1411127:244
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)