Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navi Vutiselts vs Rapla

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Rapla advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Navi Vutiselts
15%
Draws
28%
Rapla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navi Vutiselts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Navi Vutiselts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Navi Vutiselts's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Navi Vutiselts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rapla, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Navi Vutiselts Clean Sheet 10%
Rapla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navi Vutiselts Rapla
Matches Played 15 12
Wins 7 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.92
Goals Conceded 2.73 5.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 3.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2010 Estonian Cup
Navi Vutiselts vs Rapla
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navi Vutiselts 83 / 100
Rapla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navi Vutiselts Rapla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navi Vutiselts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navi Vutiselts's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Rapla let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Rapla lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Navi Vutiselts VS Rapla
1.63 Goals Scored 3.14
2.88 Goals Conceded 6.14
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Navi Vutiselts

(Home)
21 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
2 : 4
Rada Kuusalu
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0
Navi Vutiselts
01 Nov
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 7
Torva JK
06 Sept
Navi Vutiselts
3 : 1
Tallinna Kalev III
05 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 2
Navi Vutiselts
Page 1 of 3

Rapla

(Away)
30 Jun
Rapla
2 : 6
Metropool Parnu
06 Jul
FC Tartu
8 : 1
Rapla
17 Jul
Raasiku Joker
9 : 0
Rapla
12 Jun
Rapla
6 : 0
Donkers
04 Sept
Levadia
17 : 1
Rapla
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tammeka Tartu 0
Narva 1
Tallinna Kalev 2
Tammeka Tartu II 1
Tartu SK 10 1
Ganvix Turi 0
Lasnamae 4
Nomme Utd 1
Viimsi JK 4
Kohtla-Jarve JK Alko 0
Sillamae Kalev 12
Kivioli Irbis 1
Flora 4
FC Lootos Polva 1
Raasiku Joker 3
Sillamae Kalev II 0
Quarter-finals
Narva 1
Tallinna Kalev 0
Tartu SK 10 0
Lasnamae 4
Viimsi JK 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Flora 3
Raasiku Joker 0
Semi-finals
Flora 6
Lasnamae 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Narva 2
Final
Flora 2
Narva 0