Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Navia vs Candas CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Navia in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Navia
30%
Draws
47%
Candas CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Candas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Candas CF have won more games recently than Navia.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Candas CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Navia Clean Sheet 20%
Candas CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navia Candas CF
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.8 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navia vs Candas CF
2:1
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Navia
1:1
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navia vs Candas CF
0:1
Nov 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Navia
0:0
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navia vs Candas CF
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navia 10 / 100
Candas CF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navia Candas CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Candas CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Candas CF let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Navia scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Navia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Candas CF
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navia

(Home)
19 May
Navia
1 : 5
L Entregu CF
11 May
Atletico de Lugones
1 : 1
Navia
05 May
Navia
1 : 3
Condal
28 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Navia
21 Apr
Navia
0 : 3
Llanes
Page 1 of 6

Candas CF

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
0 : 1
Candas CF
04 May
Candas CF
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
26 Apr
Universidad Oviedo
2 : 0
Candas CF
20 Apr
Candas CF
1 : 1
Andes CF
13 Apr
Real Aviles B
0 : 1
Candas CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)