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Naviraiense vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense Logo

Naviraiense

0 - 0
FT
Operario MS Logo

Operario MS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Naviraiense
20%
Draws
34%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario MS have won more games recently than Naviraiense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 68%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naviraiense Operario MS
Matches Played 28 41
Wins 13 19
Draws 9 14
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Operario MS
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Operario MS
1:1
Apr 10, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Naviraiense
1:0
Mar 23, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Operario MS
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naviraiense 41 / 100
Operario MS 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naviraiense Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naviraiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naviraiense's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Operario MS conceded in 68% of 41 recent games.

Solid form: Naviraiense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Operario MS's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Naviraiense VS Operario MS
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naviraiense

(Home)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)