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Navua vs Nadi

Fiji Fiji

Premier League 2025
Sun, Sep 28, 2025
0 - 3
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Navua host Nadi in the Premier League 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Navua have averaged 1.23 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Nadi's 1.5 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Nadi slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.19, favoring Nadi. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Navua
15%
Draws
37%
Nadi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Navua lately — more wins on the board than Nadi.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Navua taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nadi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Navua Clean Sheet 20%
Nadi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Navua Nadi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premier League
Nadi vs Navua
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Navua vs Nadi
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Navua vs Nadi
0:3
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Nadi vs Navua
5:2
Jul 14, 2024 Premier League
Nadi vs Navua
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Navua 85 / 100
Nadi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Navua Nadi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nadi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Navua's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Navua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Navua VS Nadi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Navua

(Home)
23 Aug
Rewa
0 : 1
Navua
15 Aug
Nasinu
0 : 2
Navua
02 Aug
Tailevu Naitasiri
2 : 7
Navua
26 Jul
Navua
0 : 1
Labasa
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
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Nadi

(Away)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
09 Aug
Nadi
3 : 2
Nadroga
31 Jul
Nasinu
2 : 3
Nadi
26 Jul
Nadi
1 : 1
Rewa
19 Jul
Tailevu Naitasiri
1 : 0
Nadi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rewa 18 13 4 1 51:13 43
2 Labasa 18 11 4 3 45:24 37
3 Lautoka 18 11 1 6 30:23 34
4 Ba 18 7 6 5 41:23 27
5 Navua 18 8 2 8 22:25 26
6 Suva 18 5 8 5 29:24 23
7 Nadi 18 5 5 8 31:35 20
8 Nadroga 18 5 4 9 26:41 19
9 Nasinu 18 5 3 10 28:56 18
10 Tavua 18 0 3 15 12:51 3
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