Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naxara vs Basconia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Rojo I.
80' Event
Martinez H.
90' Event
Martinez H.

AI Match Summary

Naxara in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naxara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Naxara
6%
Draws
90%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naxara lately — more wins on the board than Basconia.
  • Basconia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Naxara Clean Sheet 15%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxara Basconia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Basconia
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Naxara
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naxara Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rojo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Basconia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxara 10 / 100
Basconia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxara Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Naxara found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Naxara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naxara VS Basconia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxara

(Home)
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2
Naxara
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Naxara
2 : 0
SD Logrones
05 Apr
Real Union
3 : 0
Naxara
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Basconia

(Away)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)