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Naxara vs Calasancio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naxara in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naxara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Naxara
35%
Draws
46%
Calasancio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calasancio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naxara lately — more wins on the board than Calasancio.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Naxara have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Naxara Clean Sheet 18%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxara Calasancio
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.32 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs Calasancio
2:0
Jan 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Naxara
0:5
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs Calasancio
1:0
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Naxara
0:5
Feb 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Naxara
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxara 32 / 100
Calasancio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxara Calasancio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Naxara scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Calasancio conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Naxara has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naxara VS Calasancio
1.5 Goals Scored 1.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxara

(Home)
27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0
UD Barbastro
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0
Naxara
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0
Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
Page 1 of 7

Calasancio

(Away)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alfaro 20 14 3 3 35:14 45
2 Anguiano 20 13 5 2 32:11 44
3 Varea 20 12 5 3 48:12 41
4 Arnedo 20 11 3 6 30:17 36
5 CDFC La Calzada 20 8 3 9 30:26 27
6 Oyonesa 20 7 4 9 24:22 25
7 Berceo 20 7 3 10 26:36 24
8 Vianes 20 5 8 7 18:22 23
9 Agoncillo 20 6 4 10 29:36 22
10 Comillas CF 20 6 2 12 19:34 20
11 Villegas 20 0 2 18 7:68 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Rioja 20 14 3 3 46:14 45
2 UD Logrones B 20 11 6 3 31:18 39
3 Naxara 20 11 6 3 43:22 39
4 CD Calahorra B 20 9 8 3 30:14 35
5 Yague 20 9 4 7 30:22 31
6 Casalarreina CF 20 8 3 9 27:26 27
7 River Ebro 20 6 6 8 19:26 24
8 CD Tedeon 20 6 4 10 16:30 22
9 Pradejon 20 3 7 10 21:35 16
10 Calasancio 20 3 4 13 12:43 13
11 CCD Alberite 20 2 5 13 14:39 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)