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Naxara vs Calasancio

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021
Naxara Logo

Naxara

2 - 0
FT
Calasancio Logo

Calasancio

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naxara in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naxara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Naxara
15%
Draws
26%
Calasancio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naxara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naxara lately — more wins on the board than Calasancio.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Naxara taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Naxara have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Naxara Clean Sheet 17%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxara Calasancio
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.41 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs Calasancio
2:0
Jan 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Naxara
0:5
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Naxara vs Calasancio
1:0
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Naxara
0:5
Feb 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Naxara
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxara 84 / 100
Calasancio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxara Calasancio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naxara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calasancio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Naxara found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Naxara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naxara VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxara

(Home)
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4
Naxara
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2
Naxara
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Naxara
2 : 0
SD Logrones
Page 1 of 7

Calasancio

(Away)
06 Jun
Calasancio
1 : 1
Agoncillo
30 May
Comillas CF
4 : 0
Calasancio
23 May
Calasancio
2 : 0
Villegas
16 May
Berceo
4 : 1
Calasancio
09 May
Calasancio
0 : 4
Vianes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alfaro 20 14 3 3 35:14 45
2 Anguiano 20 13 5 2 32:11 44
3 Varea 20 12 5 3 48:12 41
4 Arnedo 20 11 3 6 30:17 36
5 CDFC La Calzada 20 8 3 9 30:26 27
6 Oyonesa 20 7 4 9 24:22 25
7 Berceo 20 7 3 10 26:36 24
8 Vianes 20 5 8 7 18:22 23
9 Agoncillo 20 6 4 10 29:36 22
10 Comillas CF 20 6 2 12 19:34 20
11 Villegas 20 0 2 18 7:68 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Rioja 20 14 3 3 46:14 45
2 UD Logrones B 20 11 6 3 31:18 39
3 Naxara 20 11 6 3 43:22 39
4 CD Calahorra B 20 9 8 3 30:14 35
5 Yague 20 9 4 7 30:22 31
6 Casalarreina CF 20 8 3 9 27:26 27
7 River Ebro 20 6 6 8 19:26 24
8 CD Tedeon 20 6 4 10 16:30 22
9 Pradejon 20 3 7 10 21:35 16
10 Calasancio 20 3 4 13 12:43 13
11 CCD Alberite 20 2 5 13 14:39 11
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)