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Naxara vs Pena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naxara host Pena in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Naxara have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Pena's 1.69 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Naxara have won 2 to Pena's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2022, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.06 - 1.69) back Pena to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Naxara
30%
Draws
54%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Pena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pena a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Naxara Clean Sheet 13%
Pena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxara Pena
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Pena vs Naxara
2:3
Oct 3, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs Pena
2:0
Jun 24, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Pena vs Naxara
3:1
Jun 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Naxara vs Pena
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxara 22 / 100
Pena 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxara Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Naxara's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pena conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Naxara stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naxara VS Pena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxara

(Home)
27 Sept
Naxara
0 : 0
UD Barbastro
20 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 0
Naxara
13 Sept
Naxara
1 : 2
Olot
06 Sept
Barcelona B
5 : 0
Naxara
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
Page 1 of 6

Pena

(Away)
03 Oct
Pena
4 : 0
SD Logrones
26 Sept
Barcelona B
4 : 0
Pena
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
2 Osasuna B 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Olot 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
4 Ebro 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Espanyol B 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
6 CE Manresa 5 3 0 2 11:5 9
7 Girona B 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
8 Tudelano 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Terrassa 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
10 Pena 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
11 UD Barbastro 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Utebo FC 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Reus FC Reddis 5 2 0 3 3:7 6
14 UD Logrones B 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Calamocha 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
16 SD Logrones 5 0 2 3 4:11 2
17 Naxara 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
18 Arnedo 5 0 0 5 3:16 0
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)