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Naxxar Lions vs Gharghur

Malta Malta

Division 1 2016/2017
Naxxar Lions Logo

Naxxar Lions

2 - 4
FT
Gharghur Logo

Gharghur

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gharghur in this Division 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gharghur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Naxxar Lions
15%
Draws
59%
Gharghur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naxxar Lions lately — more wins on the board than Gharghur.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Naxxar Lions taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Naxxar Lions Clean Sheet 18%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naxxar Lions Gharghur
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.64 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 Challenge League
Naxxar Lions vs Gharghur
2:4
Nov 18, 2016 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Naxxar Lions
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naxxar Lions 85 / 100
Gharghur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naxxar Lions Gharghur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naxxar Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naxxar Lions scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Gharghur has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Naxxar Lions remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naxxar Lions VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naxxar Lions

(Home)
20 Sept
Naxxar Lions
3 : 1
Zebbug
12 Sept
Pieta
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
10 May
Naxxar Lions
0 : 1
Mosta FC
02 May
Marsaxlokk
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
26 Apr
Gzira
0 : 0
Naxxar Lions
Page 1 of 8

Gharghur

(Away)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lija 26 16 6 4 63:34 54
2 Senglea 26 16 5 5 57:21 53
3 Naxxar Lions 26 16 3 7 57:37 51
4 Qormi 26 13 7 6 36:26 46
5 Mqabba FC 26 13 5 8 39:32 44
6 Pieta 26 13 2 11 48:38 41
7 Vittoriosa 26 12 4 10 50:37 40
8 Sirens 26 10 4 12 40:44 34
9 Melita 26 8 7 11 29:39 31
10 Zebbug 26 8 6 12 40:47 30
11 Rabat Ajax 26 7 6 13 33:54 27
12 Marsa 26 7 4 15 35:49 25
13 Gharghur 26 4 6 16 30:65 18
14 Fgura 26 3 7 16 20:54 16
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)