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Stadium Background

Nazareno vs Nueve de Octubre

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Riascos J.
46' Event
Rivas W.
58' Event
Mejia F.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Ecuador game between Nazareno and Nueve de Octubre finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueve de Octubre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nazareno
33%
Draws
40%
Nueve de Octubre
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nueve de Octubre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nueve de Octubre are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nazareno Clean Sheet 10%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nazareno Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 10
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 4 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Nazareno vs Nueve de Octubre
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nazareno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Riascos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nazareno 26 / 100
Nueve de Octubre 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nazareno Nueve de Octubre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nueve de Octubre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nazareno scored in 0% of their last 1 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nazareno VS Nueve de Octubre
0 Goals Scored 2
4 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito-
TBD-
Africando1
Independiente Juniors2
Leones del Norte-
TBD-
Huaquillas FC1
Rio Aguarico0
Aucas-
TBD-
Guaranda0
San Antonio1
Dep. Cuenca-
TBD-
La Union1
Cumbaya0
Emelec-
TBD-
U.D. Juvenil0
Daquilema2
Guayaquil City-
TBD-
Astillero2
22 de Julio1
U. Catolica-
TBD-
Dunamis1
EL Nacional5
Orense-
TBD-
Domingo TSA1
Vinotinto2
Independiente del Valle-
TBD-
Primero de Mayo0
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Manta-
TBD-
Nazareno0
Nueve de Octubre4
Mushuc Runa-
TBD-
Dep. Quito0
Gualaceo1
Macara-
TBD-
Quito2
CD Cuenca Juniors3
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
Insutec4
Club Deportivo Ibarra3
Libertad-
TBD-
Ind. Azogues0
LDU Portoviejo5
Delfin-
TBD-
Banos2
Anaconda1
Tecnico U.-
TBD-
Juventud Italiana2
Atletico FC1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito2
Independiente Juniors1
Leones del Norte1
Huaquillas FC0
Aucas3
San Antonio0
Dep. Cuenca0
La Union1
Emelec0
Daquilema1
Guayaquil City1
Astillero2
U. Catolica4
EL Nacional1
Orense1
Vinotinto2
Independiente del Valle2
Dep. Santo Domingo0
Manta1
Nueve de Octubre0
Mushuc Runa0
Gualaceo1
Macara1
CD Cuenca Juniors0
Barcelona SC4
Insutec2
Libertad1
LDU Portoviejo2
Delfin2
Banos0
Tecnico U.0
Juventud Italiana2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito-
Leones del Norte-
Aucas-
La Union-
Daquilema-
Astillero-
U. Catolica-
Vinotinto-
Independiente del Valle-
Manta-
Gualaceo-
Macara-
Barcelona SC-
LDU Portoviejo-
Delfin-
Juventud Italiana-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-