Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nazillispor vs Karsiyaka

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sezgin O. F.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Ozturk E.
47' Event
Uzunoglu Y.
Assist: Sezgin O. F.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Nazillispor and Karsiyaka finished 0-10, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nazillispor
6%
Draws
90%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nazillispor haven't matched Karsiyaka's recent run of results.
  • Karsiyaka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nazillispor Karsiyaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 26 4
Goals Scored 0.13 4
Goals Conceded 6.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Karsiyaka
0:10
Oct 18, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Nazillispor
1:0
Sep 13, 2018 Turkish Cup
Nazillispor vs Karsiyaka
2:0
Apr 1, 2018 2. Lig White Group
Karsiyaka vs Nazillispor
4:1
Nov 12, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Nazillispor vs Karsiyaka
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nazillispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzunoglu Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sezgin O. F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nazillispor 10 / 100
Karsiyaka 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nazillispor Karsiyaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Nazillispor scored in 20% of their last 30 games.

Karsiyaka let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Karsiyaka registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nazillispor VS Karsiyaka
0.13 Goals Scored 4
6.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nazillispor

(Home)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 12
Eskisehir Anadolu
Page 1 of 6

Karsiyaka

(Away)
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Tire 2021 FK
1 : 1
Karsiyaka
12 Apr
Karsiyaka
5 : 0
Soke 1970
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)