Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Sezgin O. F.
(Penalty)
35'
35'
Ozturk E.
47'
47'
Uzunoglu Y.
Assist: Sezgin O. F.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Nazillispor and Karsiyaka finished 0-10, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karsiyaka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karsiyaka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Nazillispor haven't matched Karsiyaka's recent run of results.
- Karsiyaka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nazillispor | Karsiyaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 0 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 26 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.23 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.93 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.26 | 3.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Karsiyaka
0:10
Oct 18, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Nazillispor
1:0
Sep 13, 2018 Turkish Cup
Nazillispor vs Karsiyaka
2:0
Apr 1, 2018 2. Lig White Group
Karsiyaka vs Nazillispor
4:1
Nov 12, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Nazillispor vs Karsiyaka
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nazillispor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.2
Avg xA / game 0.13
Karsiyaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Uzunoglu Y.
3 Goals Assists Leader Sezgin O. F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nazillispor 10 / 100
Karsiyaka 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nazillispor Karsiyaka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Karsiyaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Karsiyaka lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Nazillispor scored in 20% of their last 30 games.
Karsiyaka has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nazillispor VS Karsiyaka
0.14 Goals Scored 2.25
5.14 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nazillispor
(Home) 18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0 Nazillispor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3 Altay
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0 Nazillispor
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0 Nazillispor
24 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 12 Eskisehir Anadolu
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3 Altay
24 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 12 Eskisehir Anadolu
08 Mar
Nazillispor
0 : 7 Balikesirspor
22 Feb
Nazillispor
0 : 10 Karsiyaka
09 Feb
Nazillispor
0 : 6 Soke 1970
Page 1 of 3
Karsiyaka
(Away) 26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1 Altay
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0 Karsiyaka
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2 Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Karsiyaka
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0 Karsiyaka
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0 Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Tire 2021 FK
1 : 1 Karsiyaka
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5 Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kutahyaspor | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 69:18 | 75 |
| 2 | Eskisehirspor | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 74:18 | 71 |
| 3 | Karsiyaka | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:19 | 67 |
| 4 | Ayvalikgucu | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Balikesirspor | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:24 | 58 |
| 6 | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 48 |
| 7 | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:33 | 47 |
| 8 | Alanya 1221 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:33 | 38 |
| 9 | Tire 2021 FK | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 47:39 | 37 |
| 10 | Soke 1970 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:43 | 35 |
| 11 | Eskisehir Anadolu | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Altay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 13 | Izmir Coruhlu | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:66 | 23 |
| 14 | Afyonspor | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31:61 | 22 |
| 15 | Bornova 1877 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 35:68 | 21 |
| 16 | Nazillispor | 30 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 7:118 | 4 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
