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Nazillispor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Erturk H.
Assist: Nizam B.
74'
Yelken B.
90' Event
Yilanci S.

AI Match Summary

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Usak Belediyespor Kulubu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nazillispor
6%
Draws
90%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Usak Belediyespor Kulubu have won more games recently than Nazillispor.
  • Win probability leans Usak Belediyespor Kulubu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Usak Belediyespor Kulubu have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Nazillispor Clean Sheet 10%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nazillispor Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 0.13 1
Goals Conceded 7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Nazillispor
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Nazillispor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0:2
Mar 30, 2022 2. Lig White Group
Nazillispor vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 2. Lig White Group
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Nazillispor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nazillispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Erturk H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yilanci S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nazillispor 10 / 100
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nazillispor Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nazillispor found the back of the net in 20% of recent matches (30 games).

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nazillispor VS Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0.13 Goals Scored 1
7 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184