Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nchanga Rangers vs Green Buffaloes FC

Zambia Zambia

Super League Nchanga Stadium, Chingola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Nchanga Rangers and Green Buffaloes FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Green Buffaloes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nchanga Rangers
20%
Draws
38%
Green Buffaloes FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nchanga Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Nchanga Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nchanga Rangers's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nchanga Rangers Green Buffaloes FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Green Buffaloes FC
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Nchanga Rangers
1:1
May 3, 2025 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Nchanga Rangers
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Green Buffaloes FC
0:0
Jan 21, 2023 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Nchanga Rangers
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nchanga Rangers 42 / 100
Green Buffaloes FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nchanga Rangers Green Buffaloes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nchanga Rangers scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Green Buffaloes FC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Nchanga Rangers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Green Buffaloes FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nchanga Rangers VS Green Buffaloes FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nchanga Rangers

(Home)
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
29 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Nkwazi
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Green Buffaloes FC

(Away)
22 May
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
29 Apr
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Green Eagles
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