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Nchanga Rangers vs Kabwe

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026 Nchanga Stadium, Chingola
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AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Nchanga Rangers and Kabwe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nchanga Rangers
35%
Draws
28%
Kabwe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nchanga Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nchanga Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nchanga Rangers a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Kabwe Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nchanga Rangers Kabwe
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Kabwe
1:1
Jan 28, 2026 Super League
Kabwe vs Nchanga Rangers
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Kabwe
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Super League
Kabwe vs Nchanga Rangers
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Kabwe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nchanga Rangers 42 / 100
Kabwe 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nchanga Rangers Kabwe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nchanga Rangers scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Kabwe conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Nchanga Rangers remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nchanga Rangers VS Kabwe
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nchanga Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Nchanga Rangers
0 : 1
Zanaco
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
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Kabwe

(Away)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Kabwe
0 : 0
Zanaco
16 May
Kabwe
0 : 1
Zesco
08 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 1
Kabwe
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