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ND Gorica vs Krsko Posavje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Športni park Nova Gorica, Nova Gorica
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
D'Almeida K.
62' Event
Penezic F.
90' Event
Nwachukwu P. O.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between ND Gorica and Krsko Posavje finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krsko Posavje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ND Gorica
20%
Draws
29%
Krsko Posavje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Krsko Posavje come out ahead of ND Gorica on wins alone.
  • Model gives ND Gorica a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 20%
Krsko Posavje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ND Gorica Krsko Posavje
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs ND Gorica
2:0
Nov 14, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Krsko Posavje
1:2
Mar 19, 2022 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Krsko Posavje
2:0
Sep 22, 2021 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs ND Gorica
0:1
Mar 22, 2020 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs ND Gorica
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Almeida K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Krsko Posavje Compare

Top Goalscorer Penezic F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nwachukwu P. O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ND Gorica 76 / 100
Krsko Posavje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ND Gorica Krsko Posavje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ND Gorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Krsko Posavje conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

ND Gorica scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: ND Gorica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ND Gorica VS Krsko Posavje
1.83 Goals Scored 0.88
1.17 Goals Conceded 2.25
83% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ND Gorica

(Home)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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Krsko Posavje

(Away)
03 Oct
Vrhnika
0 : 0
Krsko Posavje
27 Sept
Krsko Posavje
3 : 1
Bilje
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 2
Krsko Posavje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)