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Nea Ionia vs Afantou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Nea Ionia Logo

Nea Ionia

0 - 1
FT
Afantou Logo

Afantou

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Afantou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afantou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nea Ionia
20%
Draws
29%
Afantou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nea Ionia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nea Ionia have won more games recently than Afantou.
  • Win probability leans Nea Ionia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Nea Ionia Clean Sheet 68%
Afantou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Ionia Afantou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Nea Ionia vs Afantou
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Afantou vs Nea Ionia
1:1
Sep 11, 2024 Greek Cup
Afantou vs Nea Ionia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Ionia 77 / 100
Afantou 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Ionia Afantou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Ionia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Ionia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Nea Ionia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Afantou let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nea Ionia VS Afantou
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Ionia

(Home)
04 Oct
Nea Ionia
4 : 0
Acharnaikos
27 Sept
Thyella Diastavroseos
2 : 1
Nea Ionia
08 Apr
Nea Ionia
4 : 2
Apollon Kalythion
05 Apr
Kentavros Vrilission
4 : 0
Nea Ionia
28 Mar
Nea Ionia
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
Page 1 of 6

Afantou

(Away)
04 Oct
Afantou
0 : 0
PAO Rouf
27 Sept
Afantou
1 : 0
Ionikos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1
E. Asteras
05 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
4 : 2
Afantou
02 Apr
Afantou
2 : 4
Nea Artaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)