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World

Club Friendly 2013

Alki Larnaca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nea Salamis play Alki Larnaca in the Club Friendly 2013. Nea Salamis are favorites here. Recently, Nea Salamis averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Alki Larnaca averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Nea Salamis won 4, Alki Larnaca won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 19, 2014 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Nea Salamis and 0.75 for Alki Larnaca. This points to a Nea Salamis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

76%

Nea Salamis

15%

Draws

Alki Larnaca

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nea Salamis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Nea Salamis picked up more points recently compared to Alki Larnaca.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 27%

Alki Larnaca Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nea Salamis	Alki Larnaca
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	26	2
Draws	4	4
Losses	2	24
Goals Scored	1.97	0.73
Goals Conceded	0.63	2.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2014 Cyprus League

Alki Larnaca vs Nea Salamis

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Dec 14, 2013 Cyprus League

Nea Salamis vs Alki Larnaca

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Aug 10, 2013 Club Friendly

Nea Salamis vs Alki Larnaca

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

4:1

Apr 28, 2013 Cyprus League

Alki Larnaca vs Nea Salamis

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Apr 21, 2013 Cyprus League

Nea Salamis vs Alki Larnaca

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Salamis 74 / 100

Alki Larnaca 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nea Salamis Alki Larnaca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Salamis Win (1)

Secondary Pick Nea Salamis & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +11.7%

1.47

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nea Salamis attacking → ← attacking Alki Larnaca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Salamis scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Alki Larnaca let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nea Salamis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alki Larnaca lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

82 Points in last 5 10

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00