Sport Picks

Cyprus

Division 2 Ammochostos Stadium

Ayia Napa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nea Salamis play Ayia Napa in the Division 2. Nea Salamis are favorites here. Recently, Nea Salamis averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Ayia Napa averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, Nea Salamis won 5, Ayia Napa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Nea Salamis and 0.69 for Ayia Napa. This points to a Nea Salamis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Nea Salamis

15%

Draws

24%

Ayia Napa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nea Salamis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Nea Salamis picked up more points recently compared to Ayia Napa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 28%

Ayia Napa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nea Salamis	Ayia Napa
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	24	10
Draws	4	7
Losses	2	12
Goals Scored	1.97	1.34
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 2

Nea Salamis vs Ayia Napa

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Feb 14, 2026 Division 2

Ayia Napa vs Nea Salamis

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Jan 3, 2026 Division 2

Ayia Napa vs Nea Salamis

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Feb 26, 2022 Division 2

Ayia Napa vs Nea Salamis

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Oct 30, 2021 Division 2

Nea Salamis vs Ayia Napa

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nea Salamis Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldair

2 Goals

Assists Leader Christodoulou G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Ayia Napa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Salamis 61 / 100

Ayia Napa 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nea Salamis Ayia Napa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Salamis Win (1)

Secondary Pick Nea Salamis & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nea Salamis attacking → ← attacking Ayia Napa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Salamis scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Ayia Napa let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Nea Salamis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ayia Napa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 37

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nea Salamis	14	11	2	1	29:10	76
2	Karmiotissa	14	8	5	1	29:11	53
3	Omonia 29th May	14	7	6	1	30:18	53
4	PAEEK	14	4	5	5	19:23	46
5	Doxa	14	4	3	7	13:23	42
6	Ayia Napa	14	4	3	7	22:28	41
7	ASIL Lysi	14	2	2	10	18:37	31
8	M.E.A.P. Nisou	14	2	2	10	13:23	29