Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2025/2026 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Pavlidis G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Nea Salamis and Karmiotissa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nea Salamis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nea Salamis
35%
Draws
32%
Karmiotissa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nea Salamis come out ahead of Karmiotissa on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Nea Salamis taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nea Salamis Clean Sheet 17%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Salamis Karmiotissa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 12
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.13 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Division 2
Karmiotissa vs Nea Salamis
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Division 2
Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 Division 2
Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa
0:0
Feb 14, 2025 Cyprus League
Nea Salamis vs Karmiotissa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nea Salamis Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlidis G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Karmiotissa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Salamis 57 / 100
Karmiotissa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Salamis Karmiotissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Salamis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Salamis's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Karmiotissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Nea Salamis has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nea Salamis VS Karmiotissa
2.63 Goals Scored 1.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Salamis

(Home)
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
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Karmiotissa

(Away)
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nea Salamis 14 11 2 1 29:10 76
2 Karmiotissa 14 8 5 1 29:11 53
3 Omonia 29th May 14 7 6 1 30:18 53
4 PAEEK 14 4 5 5 19:23 46
5 Doxa 14 4 3 7 13:23 42
6 Ayia Napa 14 4 3 7 22:28 41
7 ASIL Lysi 14 2 2 10 18:37 31
8 M.E.A.P. Nisou 14 2 2 10 13:23 29
Promotion - Cyprus League (Main)