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Nea Selefkia vs Aris Filiaton

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Nea Selefkia Logo

Nea Selefkia

2 - 2
FT
Aris Filiaton Logo

Aris Filiaton

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nea Selefkia
30%
Draws
33%
Aris Filiaton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nea Selefkia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aris Filiaton lately — more wins on the board than Nea Selefkia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Nea Selefkia Clean Sheet 68%
Aris Filiaton Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Selefkia Aris Filiaton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Nea Selefkia vs Aris Filiaton
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Aris Filiaton vs Nea Selefkia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Selefkia 41 / 100
Aris Filiaton 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Selefkia Aris Filiaton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Selefkia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Selefkia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nea Selefkia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Aris Filiaton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nea Selefkia VS Aris Filiaton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Selefkia

(Home)
08 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
0 : 3
Nea Selefkia
05 Apr
Nea Selefkia
0 : 0
Anthoupoli
01 Apr
Anagennisi Schimatariou
2 : 2
Nea Selefkia
28 Mar
Nea Selefkia
1 : 0
Proodos Rogon
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
Page 1 of 6

Aris Filiaton

(Away)
04 Oct
Aris Filiaton
1 : 2
Panegialios FC
27 Sept
Agios Matthaios
0 : 2
Aris Filiaton
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
AO Trikala
0 : 0
Aris Filiaton
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)