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Nea Selefkia vs Asteras Stavrou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Nea Selefkia and Asteras Stavrou finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asteras Stavrou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Nea Selefkia
30%
Draws
8%
Asteras Stavrou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nea Selefkia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Asteras Stavrou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Nea Selefkia taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Asteras Stavrou here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nea Selefkia Clean Sheet 68%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Selefkia Asteras Stavrou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Nea Selefkia vs Asteras Stavrou
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Nea Selefkia
2:2
Aug 31, 2022 Greek Cup
Nea Selefkia vs Asteras Stavrou
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Selefkia 95 / 100
Asteras Stavrou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Selefkia Asteras Stavrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Selefkia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Selefkia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Asteras Stavrou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Nea Selefkia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nea Selefkia VS Asteras Stavrou
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Selefkia

(Home)
08 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
0 : 3
Nea Selefkia
05 Apr
Nea Selefkia
0 : 0
Anthoupoli
01 Apr
Anagennisi Schimatariou
2 : 2
Nea Selefkia
28 Mar
Nea Selefkia
1 : 0
Proodos Rogon
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Stavrou

(Away)
04 Oct
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 1
Diagoras Agias
27 Sept
Kifissos
3 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)