Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Elassona

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nea Selefkia play Elassona in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nea Selefkia averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Elassona averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Nea Selefkia won 0, Elassona won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Nea Selefkia and 0.76 for Elassona. This points to a Elassona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Nea Selefkia

35%

Draws

41%

Elassona

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Elassona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Nea Selefkia picked up more points recently compared to Elassona.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Nea Selefkia Clean Sheet 27%

Elassona Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nea Selefkia	Elassona
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	13
Draws	13	10
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.07	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Nea Selefkia vs Elassona

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

Elassona vs Nea Selefkia

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Selefkia 27 / 100

Elassona 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nea Selefkia Elassona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Elassona or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nea Selefkia attacking → ← attacking Elassona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Selefkia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Elassona let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nea Selefkia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Elassona lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 49

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elassona	24	11	10	3	31:19	43
2	Aris Filiaton	24	12	7	5	33:19	43
3	AO Trikala	24	11	10	3	35:18	43
4	Asteras Stavrou	24	11	7	6	36:28	40
5	Lamia	24	9	12	3	36:17	39
6	Tilikratis Lefkada	24	9	8	7	25:22	35
7	Anagennisi Arta	24	9	8	7	26:21	35
8	Lefkimmi	24	10	3	11	31:31	33
9	Anagennisi Schimatariou	24	9	5	10	25:24	32
10	Anthoupoli	24	7	6	11	21:29	27
11	Nea Selefkia	24	5	11	8	25:27	26
12	Proodos Rogon	23	4	6	13	30:40	18
13	Thesprotos	23	1	1	21	6:65	1