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Nea Selefkia vs Elassona

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Nea Selefkia Logo

Nea Selefkia

0 - 1
FT
Elassona Logo

Elassona

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Nea Selefkia and Elassona finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elassona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nea Selefkia
30%
Draws
33%
Elassona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nea Selefkia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elassona come out ahead of Nea Selefkia on wins alone.
  • Nea Selefkia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nea Selefkia Clean Sheet 68%
Elassona Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nea Selefkia Elassona
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Nea Selefkia vs Elassona
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Nea Selefkia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nea Selefkia 68 / 100
Elassona 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nea Selefkia Elassona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Selefkia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nea Selefkia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nea Selefkia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Elassona has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nea Selefkia VS Elassona
1.17 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nea Selefkia

(Home)
08 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
0 : 3
Nea Selefkia
05 Apr
Nea Selefkia
0 : 0
Anthoupoli
01 Apr
Anagennisi Schimatariou
2 : 2
Nea Selefkia
28 Mar
Nea Selefkia
1 : 0
Proodos Rogon
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
Page 1 of 6

Elassona

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)