Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
52'
52'
57'
57'
AI Match Summary
Neath Athletic in this FA Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neath Athletic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Neath Athletic lately — more wins on the board than West End.
- Model gives West End a 36% chance of winning this.
- Neath Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Neath Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 19%
West End Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neath Athletic | West End |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 2.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 4, 2011 FAW Welsh Cup
Neath Athletic vs West End
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neath Athletic 28 / 100
West End 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neath Athletic West End
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick West End Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neath Athletic's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
West End has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Away concern: West End has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS West End
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Neath Athletic
(Home) 21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5 Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3 Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3 Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1 Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2 Neath Athletic
Page 1 of 6
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5 Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3 Bangor City
20 Mar
Neath Athletic
0 : 1 Afan Lido
17 Mar
Neath Athletic
0 : 1 TNS
28 Feb
Neath Athletic
4 : 2 Llanelli
Page 1 of 3
West End
(Away) 21 Sept
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2 : 0 West End
17 Sept
Canton
5 : 1 West End
14 Aug
West End
12 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Oct
West End
0 : 6 Caldicot
31 Oct
West End
2 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2 : 0 West End
17 Sept
Canton
5 : 1 West End
03 Oct
Treowen
2 : 3 West End
23 Apr
Aberbargoed Buds
7 : 0 West End
17 Apr
Pontardawe
3 : 2 West End
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cefn Druids 6
Caernarfon 1
Carno FC 0
Coedpoeth 2
Llanidloes Town -
TBD -
Gwalchmai 2
Connahs Q. 7
Goytre Utd 1
Ton Pentre 0
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Caerau Ely 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Llandudno FC 3
Venture Community 1
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Guilsfield 1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 4
Ruthin Town 1
Conwy Borough 1
Caersws FC 2
FC Cefn 2
Penycae FC 1
Connahs Quay Town 0
Montgomery 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 3
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Splott 0
Bridgend Town 2
Cambrian United 5
Monmouth 1
Llanrug 3
Llandrindod 4
Pontardawe 3
Treowen 0
Aberbargoed Buds 0
AFC Porth 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerleon 1
Aberaman 0
Rhosgoch 2
Merthyr Saints 6
Taffs Well 5
Undy 4
Dinas Powys 0
Builth 2
Holyhead 6
Llanrhaeadr 1
Penrhyncoch 0
Buckley 4
Rhyl 5
Gresford 0
Bethesda Athletic 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Neath Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Corries 2
Cwmaman Institute 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
West End 2
Newport Civil Service 4
Caldicot 2
Risca United 0
Newbridge 4
Denbigh 3
Llangefni 2
Chirk AAA FC 1
Flint Town 5
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Merthyr Town 0
Barry Town 3
Bryntirion Athletic 3
Cwmbran Town 1
Aberaeron 1
Goytre AFC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
1/32-finals
Cefn Druids 8
Coedpoeth 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Connahs Q. 2
Goytre Utd 8
Caerau Ely 1
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Llandudno FC 3
Guilsfield 1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 0
Caersws FC 3
FC Cefn 7
Montgomery 3
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Tata Steel 3
Bridgend Town 5
Cambrian United 2
Llandrindod 0
Pontardawe 0
AFC Porth 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Port Talbot -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Bala -
TBD -
Caerleon 3
Merthyr Saints 4
Taffs Well 5
Builth 0
Holyhead 2
Buckley 5
Rhyl 3
Porthmadog 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Neath Athletic -
TBD -
Cardiff Corries 1
West End 2
Newport Civil Service 2
Newbridge 0
Denbigh 1
Flint Town 2
Newport -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 1
Barry Town 2
Bryntirion Athletic 5
Goytre AFC 2
TBD -
TNS -
1/16-finals
Cefn Druids 2
Connahs Q. 1
Goytre Utd 2
Prestatyn 6
Llandudno FC 1
Caersws FC 0
FC Cefn 1
Aberystwyth 6
Carmarthen Town 2
Bridgend Town 1
Cambrian United 0
AFC Porth 1
Afan Lido 1
Port Talbot 0
Wrexham 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Bala 6
Merthyr Saints 0
Taffs Well 3
Buckley 4
Rhyl 2
Newtown 1
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 4
Neath Athletic 4
West End 0
Newport Civil Service 0
Flint Town 3
Newport 3
Barry Town 2
Bryntirion Athletic 0
TNS 6
1/8-finals
Cefn Druids 2
Prestatyn 0
Llandudno FC 1
Aberystwyth 2
Carmarthen Town 3
AFC Porth 1
Afan Lido 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bala 4
Buckley 2
Rhyl 3
Llanelli 4
Neath Athletic 3
Flint Town 1
Newport 0
TNS 4
Quarter-finals
Cefn Druids 1
Aberystwyth 0
Carmarthen Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Bala 2
Llanelli 1
Neath Athletic 0
TNS 1
Semi-finals
Cefn Druids 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Bala 0
TNS 4
Final
Cefn Druids 0
TNS 2
