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Nebbi Central vs Bunyaruguru

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Nebbi Central Logo

Nebbi Central

0 - 3
FT
Bunyaruguru Logo

Bunyaruguru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Nebbi Central and Bunyaruguru finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bunyaruguru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nebbi Central
15%
Draws
51%
Bunyaruguru
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bunyaruguru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Bunyaruguru carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 17%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebbi Central Bunyaruguru
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.23 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Bunyaruguru
0:3
Nov 23, 2025 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Nebbi Central
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebbi Central 30 / 100
Bunyaruguru 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebbi Central Bunyaruguru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nebbi Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebbi Central found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bunyaruguru registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bunyaruguru has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nebbi Central VS Bunyaruguru
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebbi Central

(Home)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

Bunyaruguru

(Away)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Ntugasaze
2 : 1
Bunyaruguru
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Wakiso Giants
3 : 2
Bunyaruguru
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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