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Nebbi Central vs Paidha Black Angels

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paidha Black Angels in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paidha Black Angels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Nebbi Central
17%
Draws
70%
Paidha Black Angels
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Paidha Black Angels have won more games recently than Nebbi Central.
  • Paidha Black Angels are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 18%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebbi Central Paidha Black Angels
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Paidha Black Angels
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Nebbi Central
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebbi Central 15 / 100
Paidha Black Angels 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebbi Central Paidha Black Angels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebbi Central's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Paidha Black Angels has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Nebbi Central stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nebbi Central VS Paidha Black Angels
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717