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Nebbi Central vs Paidha Black Angels

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paidha Black Angels in this Big League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paidha Black Angels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nebbi Central
20%
Draws
57%
Paidha Black Angels
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paidha Black Angels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Paidha Black Angels have won more games recently than Nebbi Central.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 16%
Paidha Black Angels Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebbi Central Paidha Black Angels
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Paidha Black Angels
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Big League
Paidha Black Angels vs Nebbi Central
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebbi Central 36 / 100
Paidha Black Angels 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebbi Central Paidha Black Angels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paidha Black Angels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebbi Central's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Paidha Black Angels has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Nebbi Central stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nebbi Central VS Paidha Black Angels
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebbi Central

(Home)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

Paidha Black Angels

(Away)
27 Sept
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
03 May
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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