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Nebbi Central vs Young Elephant

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Nebbi Central and Young Elephant finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nebbi Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nebbi Central
20%
Draws
51%
Young Elephant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Elephant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Young Elephant come out ahead of Nebbi Central on wins alone.
  • Model gives Young Elephant a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nebbi Central Clean Sheet 20%
Young Elephant Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nebbi Central Young Elephant
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Big League
Young Elephant vs Nebbi Central
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Big League
Nebbi Central vs Young Elephant
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nebbi Central 10 / 100
Young Elephant 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nebbi Central Young Elephant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Elephant Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebbi Central found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Young Elephant let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Nebbi Central went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nebbi Central VS Young Elephant
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nebbi Central

(Home)
06 Jun
Nebbi Central
0 : 1
Paidha Black Angels
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
10 May
Blacks Power
2 : 1
Nebbi Central
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
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Young Elephant

(Away)
06 Jun
Young Elephant
4 : 0
Wakiso Giants
24 May
Paidha Black Angels
2 : 1
Young Elephant
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
10 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Young Elephant
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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