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NEC FC vs Uganda Revenue

Uganda Uganda

Premier League MTN Omondi Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Sebwalunyo H.

AI Match Summary

NEC FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored NEC FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
NEC FC
20%
Draws
38%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NEC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NEC FC lately — more wins on the board than Uganda Revenue.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on NEC FC taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
NEC FC Clean Sheet 68%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEC FC Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 14
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
NEC FC vs Uganda Revenue
1:0
Oct 2, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs NEC FC
1:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
NEC FC vs Uganda Revenue
1:0
Dec 5, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs NEC FC
1:1
Apr 16, 2024 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs NEC FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEC FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sebwalunyo H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uganda Revenue Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEC FC 51 / 100
Uganda Revenue 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEC FC Uganda Revenue

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NEC FC scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

NEC FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uganda Revenue's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

NEC FC VS Uganda Revenue
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers301910155:1767
2Kampala City30195646:2262
3Villa30187547:1761
4Kitara30168643:2256
5Entebbe UPPC30149730:2051
6NEC FC301312531:2251
7Police30138942:3547
8Maroons309111026:2738
9BUL309101130:3337
10Express FC309101128:3137
11Uganda Revenue30516927:3031
12Mbarara City30691526:4627
13Lugazi305101519:3625
14UPDF FC30571824:4122
15Calvary30491714:3921
16Buhimba30432316:6615