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NEC FC vs Vipers

Uganda Uganda

Uganda Cup
Fri, Apr 3, 2026
0 - 1
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Buule W.
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Watambala K.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Obuya P.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
NEC FC
30%
Draws
23%
Vipers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NEC FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Vipers at 1.63 per game, NEC FC at 1.2.
  • NEC FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Vipers, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
NEC FC Clean Sheet 68%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEC FC Vipers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 10 12
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 1.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Uganda Cup
NEC FC vs Vipers
0:1
Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Vipers vs NEC FC
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Premier League
NEC FC vs Vipers
1:1
Apr 17, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs NEC FC
3:1
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
NEC FC vs Vipers
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEC FC 51 / 100
Vipers 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEC FC Vipers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEC FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: NEC FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Vipers conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

NEC FC VS Vipers
1.86 Goals Scored 1.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NEC FC

(Home)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Kampala City
0 : 2
NEC FC
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
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Vipers

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitara 6
Bunyaruguru 0
Express FC 4
Red Devo 0
NEC FC 2
Lugazi 0
Vipers 4
Iganga United 0
Uganda Revenue 3
Tapoh 0
Kampala City 5
Onduparaka 0
Happy Boy 1
Six Oclock 0
Villa 1
Maroons 0
Quarter-finals
Kitara 3
Express FC 0
NEC FC 0
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 3
Kampala City 2
Happy Boy 0
Villa 1
Semi-finals
Kitara 1
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 0
Villa 3
Final
Kitara 2
Villa 1