Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Necaxa U21 vs Atlante U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Estrada J.
34' Event
Bucio S.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Necaxa U21 and Atlante U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Necaxa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Necaxa U21
15%
Draws
42%
Atlante U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Necaxa U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Necaxa U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Atlante U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa U21 Atlante U21
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 15 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.6 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Atlante U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atlante U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bucio S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa U21 49 / 100
Atlante U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa U21 Atlante U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Necaxa U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Atlante U21 conceded in 80% of 10 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Necaxa U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa U21 VS Atlante U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa U21

(Home)
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

Atlante U21

(Away)
25 Sept
Atlante U21
5 : 4
Monterrey U21
18 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Atlante U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
05 Sept
Atlas U21
4 : 0
Atlante U21
28 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 10 9 0 1 19:9 24
2 Toluca U21 8 8 0 0 17:6 22
3 Club Tijuana U21 9 6 0 3 17:12 19
4 Puebla U21 8 5 0 3 10:6 16
5 Guadalajara Chivas U21 9 5 0 4 15:14 15
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
8 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
9 Santos Laguna U21 9 4 0 5 9:12 13
10 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
11 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
12 Monterrey U21 8 4 0 4 17:12 12
13 Cruz Azul U21 9 5 0 4 18:15 11
14 Atlas U21 9 3 0 6 13:12 11
15 UNAM Pumas U21 9 3 0 6 9:12 11
16 Juarez U21 8 4 0 4 8:9 10
17 Tigres UANL U21 9 2 0 7 8:18 8
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)