Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Necaxa U21 vs Atlante U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Estrada J.
34' Event
Bucio S.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Necaxa U21 and Atlante U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Necaxa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Necaxa U21
28%
Draws
22%
Atlante U21
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Necaxa U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Necaxa U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Atlante U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa U21 Atlante U21
Matches Played 29 1
Wins 15 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Atlante U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atlante U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bucio S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa U21 49 / 100
Atlante U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa U21 Atlante U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Atlante U21 conceded in 100% of 1 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Necaxa U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa U21 VS Atlante U21
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa U21

(Home)
16 Jul
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Atlante U21
26 Apr
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 1
Necaxa U21
22 Apr
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas U21
18 Apr
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
11 Apr
Queretaro U21
1 : 2
Necaxa U21
Page 1 of 6

Atlante U21

(Away)
16 Jul
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Atlante U21

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puebla U2111002:03
2Club America U2111002:03
3Club Tijuana U2111002:03
4Santos Laguna U2111002:13
5Club Leon U2111001:03
6Cruz Azul U2111003:22
7Necaxa U2111002:12
8UNAM Pumas U2111002:12
9Atletico San Luis U2110012:31
10Pachuca U2110011:21
11Atlante U2110011:21
12Toluca U2100000:00
13Guadalajara Chivas U2100000:00
14Monterrey U2110011:20
15Atlas U2110010:10
16Juarez U2110010:20
17Queretaro U2110010:20
18Tigres UANL U2110010:20
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)