Sport Picks
Necaxa U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
Mexico
Liga MX U21 2025/2026 
Match Events
51'
51'
Moreno A.
72'
72'
Mata H.
1'
1'
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Necaxa U21 and Guadalajara Chivas U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Necaxa U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Necaxa U21 haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas U21's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Necaxa U21 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:1
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Necaxa U21
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Necaxa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mata H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Necaxa U21 35 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Necaxa U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Necaxa U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Guadalajara Chivas U21 conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Necaxa U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Necaxa U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Necaxa U21
(Home) 27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0 Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2 Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2 Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1 Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1 Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0 Club America U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2 Puebla U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1 Cruz Azul U21
17 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 3 Club Leon U21
26 Jul
Necaxa U21
0 : 3 Monterrey U21
Page 1 of 4
Guadalajara Chivas U21
(Away) 02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
16 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas U21
31 Jul
Puebla U21
1 : 0 Guadalajara Chivas U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America U21 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 32:20 | 32 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 26:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Juarez U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Monterrey U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 27:25 | 30 |
| 5 | Pachuca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 30:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Toluca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 32:22 | 29 |
| 7 | Atlas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 21:23 | 29 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Club Leon U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 18:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Necaxa U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 23:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 25:24 | 24 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana U21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 28:23 | 22 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul U21 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Puebla U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 16 | Queretaro U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:27 | 20 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:25 | 20 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC U21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 5:31 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
