Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Necaxa W vs Santos Laguna W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Porras S.
Penalty Missed
26'
Barnett J.
33'
Novella Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Necaxa W and Santos Laguna W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos Laguna W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Necaxa W
15%
Draws
85%
Santos Laguna W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos Laguna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos Laguna W come out ahead of Necaxa W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santos Laguna W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Necaxa W Santos Laguna W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 1 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 26 18
Goals Scored 0.54 1.04
Goals Conceded 3.64 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Santos Laguna W
0:2
Sep 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Necaxa W
1:2
Jan 22, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Necaxa W
2:3
Jul 29, 2024 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Santos Laguna W
1:0
Mar 12, 2024 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Necaxa W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Necaxa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Santos Laguna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Necaxa W 10 / 100
Santos Laguna W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Necaxa W Santos Laguna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Laguna W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Laguna W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Necaxa W scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Difficult form: Santos Laguna W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Necaxa W VS Santos Laguna W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Necaxa W

(Home)
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1
Necaxa W
24 Aug
Necaxa W
0 : 7
Club America W
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Santos Laguna W

(Away)
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
01 Sept
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Atlante W
23 Aug
Juarez W
3 : 2
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)