Sport Picks
Necaxa W vs Santos Laguna W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Women Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Rodriguez D. In: Guevara Ortega C.
Out: Rodriguez D.
46'
46'
Sub
Lopez G. In: Villa Cuellar S.
Out: Lopez G.
54'
54'
Villa Cuellar S.
AI Match Summary
Santos Laguna W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos Laguna W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos Laguna W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Santos Laguna W lately — more wins on the board than Necaxa W.
- Santos Laguna W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Necaxa W | Santos Laguna W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 26 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.46 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.86 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Santos Laguna W
0:2
Sep 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Necaxa W
1:2
Jan 22, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Necaxa W
2:3
Jul 29, 2024 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Santos Laguna W
1:0
Mar 12, 2024 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Necaxa W
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Necaxa W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Santos Laguna W Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibarra H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diaz N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Necaxa W 10 / 100
Santos Laguna W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Necaxa W Santos Laguna W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santos Laguna W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Defensive concern: Santos Laguna W conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Necaxa W scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.
Santos Laguna W lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Necaxa W VS Santos Laguna W
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
4.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Necaxa W
(Home) 24 Oct
Pachuca W
5 : 0 Necaxa W
21 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
7 : 0 Necaxa W
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2 Cruz Azul W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4 Toluca W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0 Necaxa W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2 Cruz Azul W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4 Toluca W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2 Atletico San Luis W
24 Aug
Necaxa W
0 : 7 Club America W
09 Aug
Necaxa W
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas W
Page 1 of 3
Santos Laguna W
(Away) 27 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 2 Club Leon W
20 Oct
Toluca W
0 : 0 Santos Laguna W
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0 Puebla W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1 Santos Laguna W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0 Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Toluca W
0 : 0 Santos Laguna W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1 Santos Laguna W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3 Santos Laguna W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0 Santos Laguna W
23 Aug
Juarez W
3 : 2 Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 48:15 | 34 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 43:12 | 32 |
| 3 | Juarez W | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 18:9 | 27 |
| 4 | Toluca W | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29:20 | 26 |
| 5 | Club Leon W | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 19 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna W | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:22 | 16 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11:31 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 32:13 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24:25 | 19 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 5 | Pachuca W | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 25:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Atlas W | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15:42 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3:50 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
