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Neckarelz vs Hollenbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2016/2017 game between Neckarelz and Hollenbach finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Neckarelz
15%
Draws
42%
Hollenbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neckarelz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hollenbach come out ahead of Neckarelz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Neckarelz a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Neckarelz Clean Sheet 13%
Hollenbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neckarelz Hollenbach
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.7 1.61
Goals Conceded 3.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2016 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarelz vs Hollenbach
3:3
Aug 7, 2016 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs Neckarelz
4:1
Mar 30, 2013 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Neckarelz vs Hollenbach
3:0
Sep 22, 2012 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs Neckarelz
0:0
May 20, 2012 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Hollenbach vs Neckarelz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neckarelz 35 / 100
Hollenbach 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neckarelz Hollenbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hollenbach conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Hollenbach has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Neckarelz's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hollenbach
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Neckarelz

(Home)
20 May
Neckarelz
0 : 3
Ravensburg
13 May
Stutt. Kickers II
6 : 1
Neckarelz
06 May
Neckarelz
2 : 1
Bahlinger
29 Apr
Bietigheim-Bissingen
4 : 1
Neckarelz
22 Apr
Neckarelz
1 : 2
Oberachern
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Hollenbach

(Away)
25 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 5
VfB Stuttgart
04 Jul
Hollenbach
0 : 4
Ansbach
30 May
Hollenbach
4 : 3
1. CfR Pforzheim
23 May
Turkspor Neckarsulm
2 : 0
Hollenbach
16 May
Hollenbach
1 : 2
FC 08 Villingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg II 34 25 4 5 78:20 79
2 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 23 8 3 86:32 77
3 Neckarsulm SU 34 19 4 11 61:45 61
4 Balingen 34 17 7 10 72:43 58
5 Bahlinger 34 16 6 12 55:46 54
6 Ravensburg 34 13 12 9 64:49 51
7 Goppinger 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
8 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 13 10 11 54:50 49
9 Reutlingen 34 13 8 13 64:56 47
10 Spielberg 34 13 7 14 64:63 46
11 Sandhausen II 34 13 7 14 48:55 46
12 Karlsruher II 34 13 6 15 59:50 45
13 Oberachern 34 10 12 12 49:61 42
14 Walldorf II 34 10 6 18 33:59 36
15 Hollenbach 34 9 8 17 45:69 35
16 Offenburger 34 8 7 19 45:68 31
17 Neckarelz 34 2 2 30 23:131 8
18 Stutt. Kickers II 34 10 8 16 48:59 0
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)