Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2017/2018

Needham Market

3 - 1

Arlesey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Needham Market in this FA Trophy 2017/2018 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Needham Market

15%

Draws

Arlesey

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Needham Market

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Needham Market lately — more wins on the board than Arlesey.
Needham Market are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Needham Market have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Needham Market, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Needham Market Clean Sheet 19%

Arlesey Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Needham Market	Arlesey
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	5
Draws	8	5
Losses	7	20
Goals Scored	1.72	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.17	2.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2017 FA Trophy

Needham Market vs Arlesey

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Needham Market 85 / 100

Arlesey 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Needham Market Arlesey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Needham Market Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arlesey has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Arlesey lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Needham Market scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Needham Market VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Needham Market

(Home)

29 Sept

Needham Market

4 : 0

Stamford

26 Sept

Canvey Island

0 : 3

Needham Market

22 Sept

Braintree

3 : 0

Needham Market

19 Sept

Needham Market

3 : 3

Braintree

12 Sept

Needham Market

2 : 0

Worcester

Page 1 of 6

Arlesey

(Away)

30 Aug

Eynesbury Rovers

3 : 1

Arlesey

15 Jul

Arlesey

0 : 4

Hendon

04 Sept

Arlesey

0 : 5

Bowers & Pitsea

07 Sept

Hadley

3 : 2

Arlesey

28 Oct

Needham Market

3 : 1

Arlesey

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Lancaster -

TBD -

Skelmersdale 1

Mossley AFC 3

Bedworth United 1

Gresley 0

TBD -

Stratford -

Newcastle Town 3

Soham 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Halesowen -

TBD -

Grantham Town -

Alvechurch 2

Belper Town 1

TBD -

Cambridge City -

Redditch -

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Brighouse Town 2

Bamber Bridge 4

Frickley 3

Sheffield FC 0

TBD -

Ashton United -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Colne 0

Clitheroe 3

Shaw Lane -

TBD -

Colwyn Bay 0

Ramsbottom Utd 3

Prescot Cables 3

Trafford 1

TBD -

Stalybridge -

Nantwich -

TBD -

Rushall -

Glossop North End 2

Tadcaster Albion 0

TBD -

Matlock -

Kettering -

TBD -

Lincoln Utd. 1

Leek Town 4

Stamford 3

Loughborough Dynamo 0

TBD -

Sutton Coldfield Town -

Ossett Town 3

Goole 0

Ossett Albion 2

Droylsden 3

Chasetown 2

Market Drayton 0

TBD -

Spalding United -

Witton Albion -

TBD -

Workington -

Hednesford -

TBD -

Mickleover -

Buxton -

TBD -

Hyde 1

Cleethorpes 2

Atherton Collieries 4

Stocksbridge 1

Radcliffe 1

Kendal 2

Whitby -

TBD -

Marine -

Neots -

TBD -

Romulus 0

Corby 2

Basford Utd. 3

Peterborough Sports 0

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Barwell -

TBD -

Carlton Town -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Mildenhall -

Stafford -

TBD -

St Ives Town -

Farsley -

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic 2

South Shields 5

Chesham -

TBD -

Barton 1

Hayes & Yeading 3

Cheshunt 3

Herne Bay 0

TBD -

Hitchin -

Taunton Town 3

AFC Totton 2

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

Barking 3

Chipstead 2

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Brentwood 10

South Park 5

VCD Athletic 0

Bedford 1

Arlesey -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Hereford -

TBD -

Weymouth -

FC Witham Town -

TBD -

Tilbury 0

Potters 4

Corinthian-Casuals 2

AFC Dunstable 0

Guernsey FC -

Hertford Town -

Biggleswade Town -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

Lewes 4

East Grinstead Town 2

TBD -

Dunstable Town -

Stortford -

TBD -

Greenwich Borough 0

Hanwell Town 1

Dorchester -

TBD -

Basingstoke -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Carshalton 0

Heybridge 2

Aylesbury Vale 4

Molesey 3

TBD -

Harlow -

Waltham Abbey 2

Faversham 1

TBD -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Hendon -

TBD -

Kings Langley -

Aveley 5

Marlow 3

TBD -

Burgess Hill -

Ashford Town 4

Uxbridge 1

Romford 0

Hastings 1

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Thurrock -

Maldon & Tiptree 5

Northwood 2

Canvey Island 0

Walton Casuals 3

Kidlington 3

Winchester City 1

TBD -

Slough Town -

Sittingbourne 3

Ashford United 0

TBD -

Merstham -

Harrow Borough -

TBD -

Whyteleafe 0

Haringey Borough 3

Thamesmead 3

Hornchurch 2

TBD -

Brightlingsea -

Sudbury 4

Aylesbury United 3

TBD -

Metropolitan Police -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Hythe 1

Kempston 0

TBD -

Leatherhead -

Hartley Wintney 1

Slimbridge 0

Barnstaple Town 0

Swindon Supermarine 1

Bristol Manor Farm 4

Cinderford Town 1

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Farnborough -

TBD -

Bishops Cleeve 0

Larkhall 1

Tiverton -

TBD -

Banbury -

Paulton Rovers 3

Salisbury 2

Evesham 2

Cirencester 3

Frome Town -

TBD -

Didcot 0

Shortwood 1

Margate -

TBD -

Staines -

Bowers & Pitsea 6

Dereham 3

Shoreham 1

Egham Town 7

Billericay -

TBD -

Tooting & Mitcham -

Bury Town 5

Ramsgate 3

Phoenix Sports 0

Chalfont St Peter 3

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Ware -

Leiston -

TBD -

Folkestone -

Moneyfields 4

Bideford 2

Fleet Town 2

Yate 3

Cray Wanderers 8

Horsham FC 0

Norwich Utd 3

Grays 4

Thame United 1

Mangotsfield 0

North Leigh 1

Wimborne 3

Lowestoft -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Lancaster 1

Mossley AFC 0

Bedworth United 1

Stratford 2

Newcastle Town 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 4

Halesowen 0

Grantham Town 1

Alvechurch 2

Cambridge City 0

Redditch 0

Coalville Town 1

Warrington Town 2

Bamber Bridge 1

Frickley 1

Ashton United 4

Altrincham 3

Clitheroe 0

Shaw Lane 3

Ramsbottom Utd 6

Prescot Cables 1

Stalybridge 5

Nantwich 0

Rushall 2

Glossop North End 3

Matlock 2

Kettering 2

Leek Town 3

Stamford 3

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Ossett Town 1

Droylsden 3

Chasetown 2

Spalding United 1

Witton Albion 0

Workington 4

Hednesford 1

Mickleover 0

Buxton 1

Cleethorpes 2

Atherton Collieries 4

Kendal 2

Whitby 1

Marine 3

Neots 3

Corby 2

Basford Utd. 0

Stourbridge 1

Barwell 1

Carlton Town 0

King’s Lynn 0

Mildenhall 1

Stafford 6

St Ives Town 0

Farsley 4

South Shields 5

Chesham 3

Hayes & Yeading 0

Cheshunt 0

Hitchin 5

Taunton Town 2

Merthyr Town 1

Barking 0

Beaconsfield Town 2

Brentwood 4

Bedford 2

Arlesey 1

Needham Market 3

Hereford 4

Weymouth 1

FC Witham Town 0

Potters 3

Corinthian-Casuals 3

Hertford Town 1

Biggleswade Town 0

Wingate & Finchley 5

Lewes 4

Dunstable Town 1

Stortford 4

Hanwell Town 0

Dorchester 2

Basingstoke 1

Tonbridge 4

Heybridge 5

Aylesbury Vale 2

Harlow 4

Waltham Abbey 0

Dulwich Hamlet 3

Hendon 3

Kings Langley 1

Aveley 0

Burgess Hill 2

Ashford Town 4

Hastings 3

Kingstonian 7

Thurrock 4

Maldon & Tiptree 3

Walton Casuals 0

Kidlington 1

Slough Town 4

Sittingbourne 3

Merstham 1

Harrow Borough 1

Haringey Borough 2

Thamesmead 3

Brightlingsea 1

Sudbury 0

Metropolitan Police 3

Royston Town 2

Enfield Town 0

Hythe 0

Leatherhead 1

Hartley Wintney 3

Swindon Supermarine 0

Bristol Manor Farm 0

Gosport Borough 1

Farnborough 3

Larkhall 1

Tiverton 4

Banbury 5

Paulton Rovers 6

Cirencester 2

Frome Town 0

Shortwood 2

Margate 3

Staines 0

Bowers & Pitsea 6

Egham Town 4

Billericay 3

Tooting & Mitcham 1

Bury Town 4

Chalfont St Peter 1

Dorking Wanderers 5

Ware 0

Leiston 3

Folkestone 2

Moneyfields 1

Yate 0

Cray Wanderers 4

Grays 2

Thame United 5

Wimborne 0

Lowestoft 0

Worthing FC 3

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Lancaster 3

Stratford 0

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

Grantham Town 2

Alvechurch 1

Coalville Town 5

Warrington Town 4

Ashton United 3

Altrincham 4

Ramsbottom Utd 1

Stalybridge 3

Rushall 2

Glossop North End 4

Leek Town 3

Stamford 1

Droylsden 2

Chasetown 1

Workington 3

Hednesford 2

Cleethorpes 3

Atherton Collieries 1

Marine 5

Neots 2

Stourbridge 3

Barwell 0

Mildenhall 1

Stafford 3

South Shields 1

Chesham 3

Hitchin 1

Taunton Town 3

Beaconsfield Town 2

Brentwood 3

Needham Market 1

Hereford 2

Potters 1

Corinthian-Casuals 1

Wingate & Finchley 3

Lewes 2

Stortford 0

Dorchester 1

Heybridge 2

Harlow 2

Dulwich Hamlet 1

Hendon 3

Burgess Hill 0

Ashford Town 2

Kingstonian 4

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Slough Town 4

Sittingbourne 1

Haringey Borough 2

Thamesmead 0

Metropolitan Police 1

Royston Town 3

Leatherhead 2

Hartley Wintney 3

Gosport Borough 0

Farnborough 6

Banbury 5

Paulton Rovers 1

Shortwood 2

Margate 2

Egham Town 0

Billericay 6

Bury Town 2

Dorking Wanderers 4

Leiston 1

Moneyfields 2

Cray Wanderers 5

Thame United 1

Worthing FC 0

TBD -

Needham Market vs Arlesey

England

Needham Market

Arlesey

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Needham Market

Arlesey

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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