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Needham Market vs Brightlingsea

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ingram L.
32' Event
Fraser O.
45' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Needham Market and Brightlingsea finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Needham Market.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Needham Market
20%
Draws
7%
Brightlingsea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Needham Market

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Needham Market carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Needham Market a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Needham Market have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 15%
Brightlingsea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Needham Market Brightlingsea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.72 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Needham Market vs Brightlingsea
3:1
Sep 30, 2022 FA Cup
Needham Market vs Brightlingsea
2:0
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Needham Market vs Brightlingsea
2:0
Sep 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Brightlingsea vs Needham Market
0:0
Dec 26, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brightlingsea vs Needham Market
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Needham Market Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingram L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fraser O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Brightlingsea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Needham Market 84 / 100
Brightlingsea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Needham Market Brightlingsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Needham Market Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brightlingsea conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Needham Market scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Needham Market has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Needham Market VS Brightlingsea
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Needham Market

(Home)
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0
Stamford
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3
Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0
Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3
Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0
Worcester
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Brightlingsea

(Away)
29 Aug
Ware
2 : 1
Brightlingsea
25 Jul
Brightlingsea
1 : 5
Aveley
11 Jul
Brightlingsea
2 : 2
Braintree
06 Sept
Brightlingsea
0 : 3
Leighton Town
30 Aug
Brightlingsea
2 : 3
Bury Town
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