Sport Picks
Needham Market vs Stamford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 
Match Events
4'
4'
Miles R.
19'
19'
Miles R.
24'
24'
Miles R.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central game between Needham Market and Stamford finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Needham Market.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Needham Market
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Needham Market come out ahead of Stamford on wins alone.
- Model gives Needham Market a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 20%
Stamford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Needham Market | Stamford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stamford
4:0
Jan 24, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Needham Market
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stamford
4:1
Apr 9, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stamford
0:3
Oct 24, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Needham Market
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Needham Market Compare
Top Goalscorer Miles R.
3 Goals Assists Leader Allen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Stamford Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Needham Market 85 / 100
Stamford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Needham Market Stamford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Needham Market Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Stamford lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Needham Market scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Stamford has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Needham Market VS Stamford
1.63 Goals Scored 0.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Needham Market
(Home) 29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3 Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0 Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1 Stanway Rovers
31 Aug
Needham Market
3 : 3 Peterborough Sports
Page 1 of 3
Stamford
(Away) 29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
26 Sept
Stamford
1 : 2 Loughborough Students
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3 Stortford
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0 Stamford
05 Sept
Stamford
0 : 1 Mickleover
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0 Stamford
31 Aug
Kettering
5 : 0 Stamford
22 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0 Stamford
08 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 0 Stamford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 | Rushall | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Peterborough Sports | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Needham Market | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Leamington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Worcester | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Hitchin | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 19 | Banbury | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:25 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
