Sport Picks
Needham Market vs Stortford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 
Match Events
37'
37'
Hammond K.
38'
38'
Miles R.
78'
78'
Baker T.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central game between Needham Market and Stortford finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Needham Market.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Needham Market
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Needham Market come out ahead of Stortford on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Needham Market's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Needham Market have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 16%
Stortford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Needham Market | Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stortford
2:1
Nov 25, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Needham Market
1:2
Sep 23, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stortford
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Needham Market Compare
Top Goalscorer Hammond K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miles R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Stortford Compare
Top Goalscorer Baker T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Needham Market 84 / 100
Stortford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Needham Market Stortford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Needham Market Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stortford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Needham Market's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Needham Market has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Needham Market VS Stortford
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Needham Market
(Home) 17 Oct
Leamington
1 : 2 Needham Market
13 Oct
Bury Town
0 : 5 Needham Market
10 Oct
Needham Market
1 : 1 Anstey Nomads
03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3 Needham Market
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Needham Market
1 : 1 Anstey Nomads
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1 Stanway Rovers
Page 1 of 3
Stortford
(Away) 17 Oct
Stortford
2 : 4 Racing Club Warwick
10 Oct
Redditch
3 : 1 Stortford
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2 Bury Town
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2 Stortford
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3 Stortford
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Redditch
3 : 1 Stortford
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2 Stortford
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3 Stortford
29 Aug
Bromsgrove
3 : 0 Stortford
15 Aug
Halesowen
1 : 0 Stortford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 21:13 | 30 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Rushall | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 27:20 | 24 |
| 5 | Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 25:18 | 23 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 7 | Needham Market | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 26:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kettering | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:9 | 19 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | 16 |
| 12 | Redditch | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 14 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 14 | Leiston | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Stratford | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Leamington | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | 10 |
| 17 | Stortford | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 18 | Banbury | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 19 | Worcester | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8:16 | 7 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13:25 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3:32 | 1 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
