Sport Picks
Needham Market vs Worcester
England
Southern League Premier Central 
Match Events
31'
31'
Morphew D.
66'
66'
Pearce L.
87'
87'
Wise C.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central game between Needham Market and Worcester finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Needham Market.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Needham Market
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Needham Market carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Needham Market's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Needham Market have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 20%
Worcester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Needham Market | Worcester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Worcester
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Needham Market
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Worcester
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Needham Market Compare
Top Goalscorer Morphew D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pearce L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Worcester Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Needham Market 76 / 100
Worcester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Needham Market Worcester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Needham Market Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Needham Market found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Worcester has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Needham Market remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Needham Market VS Worcester
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Needham Market
(Home) 29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3 Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0 Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1 Stanway Rovers
31 Aug
Needham Market
3 : 3 Peterborough Sports
Page 1 of 3
Worcester
(Away) 29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2 Worcester
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2 Leek Town
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0 Banbury
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1 Stratford
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2 Worcester
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0 Worcester
05 Sept
Knowle
1 : 1 Worcester
29 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1 Worcester
15 Aug
Leighton Town
2 : 1 Worcester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 20 |
| 5 | Kettering | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Peterborough Sports | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Leiston | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Redditch | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Stourbridge | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Stortford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Worcester | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Hitchin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Leamington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 19 | Banbury | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 20 | Stratford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 6 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:25 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
