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NEFC vs AC Connecticut

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NEFC in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored NEFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
NEFC
15%
Draws
34%
AC Connecticut
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NEFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NEFC lately — more wins on the board than AC Connecticut.
  • Win probability leans AC Connecticut's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • NEFC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
NEFC Clean Sheet 13%
AC Connecticut Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEFC AC Connecticut
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 USL League Two
NEFC vs AC Connecticut
4:1
Jun 18, 2025 USL League Two
AC Connecticut vs NEFC
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 USL League Two
NEFC vs AC Connecticut
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEFC 22 / 100
AC Connecticut 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEFC AC Connecticut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Connecticut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

NEFC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AC Connecticut conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: NEFC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NEFC VS AC Connecticut
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NEFC

(Home)
15 Jul
NEFC
0 : 3
Ironbound SC
09 Jul
NEFC
1 : 0
Albany Rush
07 Jul
NEFC
4 : 2
Boston City
01 Jul
NEFC
0 : 4
Vermont Green
24 Jun
Connecticut Rush
1 : 2
NEFC
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AC Connecticut

(Away)
11 Jul
Seacoast United Phantoms
0 : 1
AC Connecticut
07 Jul
AC Connecticut
0 : 2
Western Pioneers
01 Jul
Connecticut Rush
0 : 2
AC Connecticut
26 Jun
Western Pioneers
1 : 0
AC Connecticut
23 Jun
Black Rock
2 : 1
AC Connecticut
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