Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Aldier

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sidorov A.
90' Event
Maslovskiy V.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Neftchi Kochkor-Ata and Aldier finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aldier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
20%
Draws
36%
Aldier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neftchi Kochkor-Ata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neftchi Kochkor-Ata come out ahead of Aldier on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Neftchi Kochkor-Ata taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Clean Sheet 20%
Aldier Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Aldier
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
1:3
Jul 7, 2026 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Aldier
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 Premier Liga
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata vs Aldier
4:1
Oct 11, 2024 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Aldier Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidorov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maslovskiy V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 49 / 100
Aldier 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Aldier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aldier conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Neftchi Kochkor-Ata scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Neftchi Kochkor-Ata stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata VS Aldier
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata

(Home)
19 Sept
Asia Talas
3 : 2
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
11 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1
Asiagoal Bishkek
05 Sept
Bishkek City
1 : 0
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
01 Sept
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
3 : 1
Alga Bishkek
23 Aug
Bars
4 : 0
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
Page 1 of 6

Aldier

(Away)
18 Sept
Bars
2 : 1
Aldier
07 Sept
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 2
Aldier
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2
Muras United
24 Aug
Toktogul
2 : 1
Aldier
19 Aug
Aldier
1 : 1
Abdysh-Ata Kant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 23 15 4 4 65:32 49
2 Muras United 22 13 7 2 47:20 46
3 Alga Bishkek 23 13 7 3 41:23 46
4 Asia Talas 24 13 7 4 55:38 46
5 Ozgon 22 14 2 6 48:27 44
6 Alay Osh 24 12 5 7 33:31 41
7 Talant 24 7 9 8 29:25 30
8 Dordoi Bishkek 23 8 5 10 36:32 29
9 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 24 9 2 13 33:42 29
10 Ilbirs 23 6 10 7 29:34 28
11 Aldier 24 7 7 10 35:43 28
12 Toktogul 23 8 4 11 26:35 28
13 Bishkek City 24 6 9 9 26:33 27
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 24 4 9 11 27:40 21
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 23 2 5 16 18:49 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 24 1 6 17 19:63 9
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)