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Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Palms Sports Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Breno Almeida
15' Event
Faraj I.
19' Event
Safarov E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Neftci Baku and Imisli FK finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftci Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Neftci Baku
17%
Draws
13%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Imisli FK haven't matched Neftci Baku's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Neftci Baku a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftci Baku Imisli FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK
6:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK
2:3
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Neftci Baku
0:0
Mar 17, 2007 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Imisli FK
3:0
Aug 24, 2006 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Neftci Baku
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftci Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Faraj I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Safarov E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Imisli FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftci Baku 67 / 100
Imisli FK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftci Baku Imisli FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Neftci Baku found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Imisli FK has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Neftci Baku has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neftci Baku VS Imisli FK
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sabah Baku33246375:2578
2Qarabag Agdam33216671:2769
3Turan33178844:2759
4Neftci Baku331611657:3259
5Zira FK331314643:3653
6Araz PFK331371344:5846
7SumQayit FK331251645:4941
8Shamakhi339111331:4038
9Imisli FK337131323:4334
10Kapaz33832225:6127
11Gabala33762032:4927
12Karvan33362423:6615