Sport Picks
Neftci Baku vs Kapaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Palms Sports Arena, Baku 
AI Match Summary
Neftci Baku host Kapaz in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Neftci Baku at 2.14 goals for, 0.97 against; Kapaz at 0.73 for, 1.3 against. Head-to-head, Neftci Baku have won 3 to Kapaz's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.00, favoring Neftci Baku. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftci Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Neftci Baku taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftci Baku | Kapaz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftci Baku scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Kapaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Neftci Baku stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Neftci Baku
(Home)Kapaz
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 | Turan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Shamakhi | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Zira FK | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 8 | SumQayit FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 9 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:17 | 2 |
