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Neftci Baku vs Khazar Lenkoran

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2015/2016 Palms Sports Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Abdullayev E.

AI Match Summary

Neftci Baku in this Premier League 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftci Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Neftci Baku
11%
Draws
9%
Khazar Lenkoran
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Khazar Lenkoran haven't matched Neftci Baku's recent run of results.
  • Neftci Baku are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Neftci Baku have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 68%
Khazar Lenkoran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftci Baku Khazar Lenkoran
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 2.5 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Neftci Baku
0:1
Mar 9, 2016 Azerbaijan Cup
Neftci Baku vs Khazar Lenkoran
2:0
Mar 2, 2016 Azerbaijan Cup
Khazar Lenkoran vs Neftci Baku
3:2
Feb 13, 2016 Premier League
Neftci Baku vs Khazar Lenkoran
1:0
Nov 22, 2015 Premier League
Khazar Lenkoran vs Neftci Baku
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftci Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullayev E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Khazar Lenkoran Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftci Baku 86 / 100
Khazar Lenkoran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftci Baku Khazar Lenkoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Khazar Lenkoran conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Neftci Baku's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Khazar Lenkoran registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftci Baku VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftci Baku

(Home)
30 Jul
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Neftci Baku
22 Jul
Neftci Baku
2 : 4
Din. Minsk
13 Jul
Neftci Baku
0 : 1
Osijek
10 Jul
Radnicki Nis
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
06 Jul
Partizan
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7

Khazar Lenkoran

(Away)
20 May
Ravan
2 : 2
Khazar Lenkoran
15 May
Khazar Lenkoran
1 : 2
SumQayit FK
11 May
Shamakhi
2 : 1
Khazar Lenkoran
07 May
Khazar Lenkoran
0 : 3
Kapaz
30 Apr
Shuvalan
1 : 0
Khazar Lenkoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qarabag Agdam36266466:2184
2Zira FK361711842:3162
3Gabala361611944:2859
4Shamakhi361611939:2859
5Kapaz3615111048:4056
6Neftci Baku3613101341:4149
7Shuvalan361371626:3846
8SumQayit FK369121541:4939
9Ravan36592227:6318
10Khazar Lenkoran36362716:5115
Promotion - Champions League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)