Sport Picks
Neftekhimik vs PFC Sochi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk 
Match Events
27'
27'
Musalov M.
29'
29'
Marcelo Alves
33'
33'
Marcelo Alves
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between Neftekhimik and PFC Sochi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PFC Sochi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PFC Sochi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Neftekhimik haven't matched PFC Sochi's recent run of results.
- PFC Sochi are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors PFC Sochi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 17%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftekhimik | PFC Sochi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs PFC Sochi
1:2
May 10, 2025 FNL
Neftekhimik vs PFC Sochi
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Neftekhimik
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 FNL
PFC Sochi vs Neftekhimik
3:2
Jan 22, 2023 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs Neftekhimik
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neftekhimik Compare
Top Goalscorer Mashukov I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
PFC Sochi Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcelo Alves
1 Goals Assists Leader Magal R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftekhimik 20 / 100
PFC Sochi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftekhimik PFC Sochi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PFC Sochi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: PFC Sochi conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Neftekhimik scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
PFC Sochi lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Neftekhimik VS PFC Sochi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftekhimik
(Home) 17 Oct
Kamaz
2 : 1 Neftekhimik
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4 Chelyabinsk
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1 Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Neftekhimik
2 : 4 Chelyabinsk
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ural
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ufa
20 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
14 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Page 1 of 3
PFC Sochi
(Away) 16 Oct
R. Volgograd
0 : 1 PFC Sochi
11 Oct
PFC Sochi
1 : 0 Ufa
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
09 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
2 : 0 PFC Sochi
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
R. Volgograd
0 : 1 PFC Sochi
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
09 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
2 : 0 PFC Sochi
24 Aug
Kamaz
2 : 3 PFC Sochi
20 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 43:15 | 37 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Veles Moscow | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 27 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 25 |
| 7 | Ufa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 9 | R. Volgograd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:17 | 18 |
| 10 | Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:26 | 16 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:23 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Kamaz | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:25 | 13 |
| 16 | Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
