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Neftekhimik vs Ufa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Pechenkin N.
28'
Sharifullin L.
42' Event
Ageyan M.

AI Match Summary

Ufa in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ufa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Neftekhimik
30%
Draws
35%
Ufa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neftekhimik lately — more wins on the board than Ufa.
  • Win probability leans Neftekhimik's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 17%
Ufa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftekhimik Ufa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ufa
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ufa
2:0
Oct 30, 2025 Russian Cup
Ufa vs Neftekhimik
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Neftekhimik
3:2
May 4, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Neftekhimik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftekhimik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ufa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ageyan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftekhimik 41 / 100
Ufa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftekhimik Ufa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ufa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Neftekhimik's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Neftekhimik has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neftekhimik VS Ufa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftekhimik

(Home)
18 Sept
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ural
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ufa
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Ufa

(Away)
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Ural 12 7 4 1 20:6 25
3 S. Kostroma 12 7 3 2 16:10 24
4 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
5 Veles Moscow 13 7 2 4 17:16 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
10 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
11 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
12 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
13 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
14 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
15 Chelyabinsk 12 3 3 6 13:19 12
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 12 1 3 8 11:23 6
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