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Neftekhimik vs Ufa

Russia Russia

FNL Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neftekhimik host Ufa in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. Ufa have shipped 1.15 goals a game lately, while Neftekhimik have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Neftekhimik slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Neftekhimik. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Neftekhimik
30%
Draws
47%
Ufa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ufa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ufa lately — more wins on the board than Neftekhimik.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 17%
Ufa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftekhimik Ufa
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ufa
2:0
Oct 30, 2025 Russian Cup
Ufa vs Neftekhimik
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Neftekhimik
3:2
May 4, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Neftekhimik
1:0
Jul 21, 2024 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ufa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftekhimik 31 / 100
Ufa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftekhimik Ufa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ufa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ufa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Neftekhimik's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Neftekhimik has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neftekhimik VS Ufa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftekhimik

(Home)
20 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
14 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
08 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 1
Neftekhimik
01 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 0
Tekstilshtik
25 Jul
Ulyanovsk
2 : 0
Neftekhimik
Page 1 of 6

Ufa

(Away)
17 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
Ufa
08 Aug
Ural
3 : 0
Ufa
03 Aug
Ufa
1 : 1
Kamaz
26 Jul
Ufa
1 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
19 Jul
Tekstilshtik
2 : 2
Ufa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 7 6 0 1 21:9 18
2 Veles Moscow 7 5 0 2 10:10 15
3 Ural 7 4 2 1 12:2 14
4 PFC Sochi 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Torpedo Moscow 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
6 S. Kostroma 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
7 Arsenal Tula 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
8 R. Volgograd 7 3 1 3 12:10 10
9 Yenisey 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
10 Shinnik Yaroslavl 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
11 Ufa 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
12 Chelyabinsk 6 2 0 4 7:12 6
13 Ulyanovsk 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
14 Neftekhimik 7 2 0 5 4:12 6
15 Tekstilshtik 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
16 Leningradets 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
17 SKA Khabarovsk 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
18 Kamaz 7 0 2 5 6:13 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)