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Neftochimic Burgas vs CSKA 1948 Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. This one's hard to separate. CSKA 1948 Sofia have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Neftochimic Burgas have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.68. Head-to-head, Neftochimic Burgas have won 0 to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Neftochimic Burgas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Neftochimic Burgas
15%
Draws
36%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Neftochimic Burgas average 1.68 goals a game right now, well clear of CSKA 1948 Sofia's 1.55.
  • Win probability leans Neftochimic Burgas's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 14%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftochimic Burgas CSKA 1948 Sofia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.68 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2020 Vtora liga
Neftochimic Burgas vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:0
Oct 24, 2019 Vtora liga
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Neftochimic Burgas
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftochimic Burgas 75 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftochimic Burgas CSKA 1948 Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftochimic Burgas found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

CSKA 1948 Sofia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Neftochimic Burgas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neftochimic Burgas VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftochimic Burgas

(Home)
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
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CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Away)
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -